(September 2021) Arkansas policymakers have taken action to boost Arkansas’ economic competitiveness by cutting the top income tax rate from 7.0% to 5.9%. Gov. Hutchinson and state legislators are poised to take the next step by reducing the rate again in a special legislative session this Fall.

Tax cut opponents maintain there is no economic advantage to reducing rates. Yet U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics jobs data show states without an income tax enjoy an economic advantage over those with the highest tax rates.States without income taxes have emerged as regional jobs magnets.

The following chart shows the top third of states with the highest income tax rates (Source: Federation of Tax Administrators, www.taxadmin.org).

State                                                  Top Individual           Income Tax Rate

California 12.3% (13.3% over $1 million taxable income)
Hawaii 11.0%  
New Jersey 10.75%  
Oregon 9.9%  
Minnesota 9.85%  
New York 8.82%  
Vermont 8.75%  
Iowa 8.53%  
Arizona 8.0%  
Wisconsin 7.65%  
Maine 7.15%  
South Carolina 7.0%  
Connecticut 6.99%  
Idaho 6.925%  
Montana 6.9%  
Nebraska 6.84%  
Delaware 6.6%  

 

Payroll employment is the broadest state level economic indicator. Tax cut opponents often make annualcomparisons between states; a broader analysis examines performance across the entire business cycle. Thelongest

U.S. economic expansion (128 months) began in June 2009 and ended in February 2020 (Source: National Bureau of Economic Research, www.nber.org). The following chart shows job creation rates in high income tax states in the last cycle (Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, www.bls.gov).

 

State

 

Idaho

Growth Rate

 

26.9%

Arizona 23.3%
Oregon 22.5%
California 22.4%
South Carolina 21.4%
United States 16.4%
New York 15.4%
Montana 13.7%
Minnesota 13.3%
Delaware 12.6%
Hawaii 11.4%
Wisconsin 9.6%
Nebraska 8.9%
New Jersey 8.8%
Iowa 7.8%
Maine 7.5%
Vermont 6.0%
Connecticut 3.9%

 

 

Employment growth in only five of 17 states with the highest income tax rates exceeded the U.S. average.

 

The next chart lists the nine states without an income tax (Source: Federation of Tax Administrators, www.taxadmin.org).

 

State Individual Income Tax Rate
Alaska 0.0%
Florida 0.0%
Nevada 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.0%             (Dividends and Interest are taxed)
South Dakota 0.0%
Tennessee 0.0%
Texas 0.0%
Washington 0.0%
Wyoming 0.0%

 

The following chart shows job creation rates in these states in the last cycle.

 

State                              Growth Rate

 

Nevada                                26.2%

Texas                                   25.7%

 

Florida 25.6%
Washington 22.9%
Tennessee 21.0%
United States 16.4%
New Hampshire 10.3%
South Dakota 10.0%
Alaska 3.0%
Wyoming 0.7%

 

Jobs creation in no income tax states exceeded growth in high tax states.

 

No Income Tax States                             23.7% High Tax States   16.6%

 

 

Regional Jobs Magnets

 

States without income taxes have emerged as regional jobs magnets.

 

Southeast Region

 

Florida was the only Southeast state without an income tax during the expansion. Arkansas is in the Southeast. Florida led the region in growth.

 

State Growth Rate
Florida 25.6%
South Carolina 21.4%
Tennessee 21.0%
Georgia 19.7%
North Carolina 18.9%
Virginia 12.0%
Kentucky 11.6%
Arkansas 11.3%
Alabama 9.8%
Mississippi 6.1%
Louisiana 4.9%
West Virginia 0.2%
Plains Region  

Texas borders Arkansas. Texas led Plains states in jobs creation.

Texas                                                          25.7%

North Dakota                                              19.9%

 

South Dakota 10.0%
Nebraska 8.9%
Oklahoma 8.7%
Kansas

 

Conclusion

6.5%

Tax rates are a factor of economic development.

Payroll employment is the broadest state level economic indicator. States without income taxes, as a group, create jobs at higher percentage rates than those with the highest rates, according to U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics data.

This analysis examined the record U.S. economic expansion from June 2009 to February 2020 (National Bureau of Economic Research).

States without income taxes have emerged as regional jobs magnets. These states are Florida in the Southeast and Texas in the Plains.

— Greg Kaza